Greece on a tightrope (notice n° 207663)

détails MARC
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01629cam a2200217 4500500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20250112052747.0
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title fre
042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE
Authentication code dc
100 10 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Antonin, Céline
Relator term author
245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Greece on a tightrope
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2015.<br/>
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note 85
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. In this article, we analyze the budgetary and banking situation in Greece, as well as the latest economic developments. We then describe the potential consequences if Greece were to leave the euro area. Finally, under the assumption that Greece will remain in the euro area, we present several possible macroeconomic scenarios over the long run (by 2050), focusing on the path to resolving public debt issues. We conclude that the most reasonable scenario is one that involves debt restructuring, which would permanently dispel the specter of a Grexit. This scenario reduces the amount of internal devaluation required to stabilize Greece’s external position. If the Eurogroup were to refuse Greek debt restructuring, then a new assistance program should be implemented quickly. This program should amount to approximately 95 billion euros, and it will prove effective only if Greece is able and willing to run high primary budgetary surpluses in the coming decades. JEL classification:F01, H63, H68.
690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN)
Topical term or geographic name as entry element debt restructuring
690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN)
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Greece
700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Sampognaro, Raul
Relator term author
700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Timbeau, Xavier
Relator term author
700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Villemot, Sébastien
Relator term author
786 0# - DATA SOURCE ENTRY
Note Revue de l'OFCE | o 138 | 2 | 2015-06-25 | p. 223-263 | 1265-9576
856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-de-l-ofce-2015-2-page-223?lang=en">https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-de-l-ofce-2015-2-page-223?lang=en</a>

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